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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2021-07-24T00:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-07-24T00:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17370/-1
CME Note: Visible to the east in SOHO LASCO/C2 and C3; halo in STEREO A COR2. Associated with eruption from AR 12849 (S18E47), visible in SDO AIA 171/193/304 beginning 2021-07-23T23:42Z, and associated with C4.3 flare beginning 2021-07-23T23:54Z. From Lan Jian: no clear features of iCME arrival found on 07-26 to 07-28 (stream interface seen at ~2021-07-28T04:50Z).
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-07-29T12:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:

Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2021-07-25T17:30Z
Radial velocity (km/s): 280
Longitude (deg): 26W
Latitude (deg): 1N
Half-angular width (deg): 29
Notes: Low confidence due to low speed
Space weather advisor: Yannick Foin

Lead Time: 78.17 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2021-07-26T05:50Z

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